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My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q1 2020

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 4.93% return for the year ending March 31, 2020

July 13, 2020 By Peter Renton 4 Comments

Views: 1,910

Many of you have emailed me to ask whether I am still doing these quarterly investment reports. The answer is yes, so here is the latest installment. I have been providing these updates for all my marketplace lending investments since 2011 and I will continue to do so.

Regular readers will notice a significant change with this year’s report. There are several investments that I have decided to discontinue completely so I am separating these out now so everyone can see the returns of all my current investments. But I will still report my overall return for the time being until these investments have been mostly liquidated. I will also be sharing my thoughts on the impact the pandemic will have on this portfolio.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 4.93%

My overall returns for the twelve months ending March 31, 2020 was 4.93%. This is down slightly from the 5.12% return last quarter. But what has been quite encouraging is that my LendingClub and Prosper investments continue to improve. Of course, you should keep in mind that these returns are through March 31 so we have seen very little impact of the pandemic. I don’t expect these improvements to continue.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

As you look at the above table you should take note of the following points: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, XIRR

Views: 1,910

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q4 2019

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 5.12% return for the 2019 calendar year

April 8, 2020 By Peter Renton 6 Comments

Views: 1,139

I have finally been able to conclude my quarterly returns report from Q4 of last year.  I have been sharing my detailed quarterly returns with readers since 2011 and I will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Given the turmoil we are experiencing today it is going to be fascinating to see how these companies hold up as we are almost certainly headed for a significant downturn.

Q4 of 2019 feels like a decade ago now with how much the world has changed. Given how the economic crisis really didn’t get started until the second half of March we won’t see much impact from returns even in my Q1 2020 report. But this year is going to be interesting to say the least.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 5.12%

The overall returns for the calendar year 2019 of my marketplace lending investments stood at 5.12%. This is down over 1% from my last update but the drop is almost entirely due to my largest holding: the Lend Academy P2P Fund which took a major hit in Q4. More on that below.

Interestingly, my original six LendingClub and Prosper accounts had their best quarter since Q1 2017 as underwriting changes made in 2017 have continued to bear fruit for investors. My lone holding in double figures is once again Streetshares as it continues to perform extremely well.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

As you look at the above table you should take note of the following points: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, XIRR

Views: 1,139

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q3 2019

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 6.29% return for the year ending September 30, 2019

January 27, 2020 By Peter Renton 8 Comments

Views: 1,291

I am certainly late with this but I have finally found the time to bring you my quarterly returns report for Q3 2019. Every quarter I share my marketplace lending investment returns with the world. I started doing this back in 2011 with my LendingClub and Prosper accounts and since then I have added many investment positions across a variety of investment vehicles and platforms.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 6.29%

After a consistent upwards trajectory for the past year my returns appear to have stabilized at least for now. My trailing 12 month returns for the year ended September 30, 2019 across all my accounts was 6.29% which is almost exactly the same as my last update (6.30%). My original six accounts, all with Lending Club and Prosper, were also relatively stable at 5.34% versus 5.48% last quarter.

I continue to move money out of my taxable LendingClub and Prosper accounts, focusing my investments here on my retirement accounts. My standout account continues to be Streetshares, the only one of my investments solidly in double figures. But I am also very happy with AlphaFlow, Money360, Yieldstreet and Fundrise as they are all returning more than 8%.

Now on to the details. Click the table below to see it at full size.

As you look at the above table you should take note of the following points: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: AlphaFlow, Fundrise, Lending Club, Money360, P2Binvestor, PeerStreet, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, StreetShares, XIRR, Yieldstreet

Views: 1,291

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q2 2019

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 6.30% return for the year ending June 30, 2019

October 8, 2019 By Peter Renton 7 Comments

Views: 1,591

[Update: an earlier version of this post had the preliminary return number of 6.20% as I awaited for the final statement. I underestimated the closing balance there so my actual return was 6.30%]

Time for an update on my quarterly investment returns. This is something I have been doing for many years now and I know it is appreciated by many of you. I started out reporting on my marketplace lending investments in Q4 2011 and have provided updates every quarter since then. I share all the details of my LendingClub and Prosper investments as well several other investments I have made in the online lending space.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 6.30%

The upward trend in my returns continued in Q2, making it the fifth quarter in a row with increasing returns. My preliminary return for the 12 months ending June 30, 2019 is 6.30%, the best I have achieved since Q3 2017.

My six original accounts at LendingClub and Prosper have all been open for at least seven years so they are very mature accounts that have experienced several turns of capital as I have kept reinvesting over the years. I have separated these out because these were the accounts I had when I first started doing these reports so readers can go back and see how they have trended over time. But as I have said before I am liquidating my taxable accounts here and will focus my investments in consumers loans in my retirement accounts.

Underwriting changes that were made in 2017 continue to bear fruit for my personal loan investments. My six original accounts had a return of 5.48%, a vast improvement from the 2.34% return of just a year ago, and back to near where it should be. In today’s benign credit environment I would still like to see returns in the 6-7% range for personal loans and we are headed in that direction.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, XIRR

Views: 1,591

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q1 2019

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 6.09% return for the year ending March 31, 2019

July 24, 2019 By Peter Renton 2 Comments

Views: 1,434

Put this in the “better late than never” department. Yes, I know it is late July and I am only now just publishing my Q1 2019 returns. Thanks to those of you who reached out but rest assured I am still committed to sharing my results publicly and I apologize for the extreme tardiness of this update.

I am happy to report this quarter that my returns continue to improve. Since hitting bottom in Q2 of 2018 my returns have improved each quarter. Both LendingClub and Prosper showed their best returns in almost two years as the underwriting changes that were implemented in 2017 have had a positive impact.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 6.09%

My overall returns for the twelve months ending March 31, 2019 was 6.09%. This is up from 5.35% that I reported in Q4 and 4.77% in Q3. My original six LendingClub and Prosper accounts had another full percentage point jump. Last quarter I reported the returns on those six accounts had jumped from 3.19% in Q3 to 4.16% in Q4. We see this quarter they are at 5.18%. This is quite a remarkable turnaround and while I still think 5% is not a high enough return for unsecured consumer lending, it is certainly moving in the right direction.

One point to note is that I am liquidating my taxable accounts at LendingClub and Prosper. I have a little too much exposure to consumer credit in my overall portfolio and so I will be focused only on investing in my IRA accounts there. I am moving my redeemed cash into other marketplace lending accounts as well as other investments outside of fintech.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: AlphaFlow, Fundrise, Lending Club, Money360, P2Binvestor, PeerStreet, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, StreetShares, XIRR, Yieldstreet

Views: 1,434

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q2 2018

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 4.46% return for the year ending June 30, 2018

September 25, 2018 By Peter Renton 12 Comments

Views: 2,107

I know I am very late with my update this quarter as many of you have pointed out in emails and comments. But rest assured I am still committed to sharing my results publicly and I apologize for the tardiness of this update.

I wish I had good news to share but alas the decline in my marketplace lending returns has continued unabated. The biggest culprit for my declining returns is my exposure to unsecured consumer credit. As I have written about many times in the past a decline in underwriting standards at the major consumer lending platforms in 2015 and 2016 led to a marked increase in defaults where returns for individual investors like myself were significantly below projections. Recent vintages indicate that this severe decline is being reversed but given the loans I am invested in are three and five years in duration the effects are still being felt inside my own portfolio and will be for some time.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 4.46%

In my report from one year ago my trailing twelve month (TTM) return stood at 7.28% and I wondered whether my returns were in a downward spiral. That has proven to be the case as I am down almost three full percentage points over the last year as my TTM returns as of June 30 stood at 4.46%.

About 18 months ago I moved to a more conservative approach in my investing, focusing primarily on the lower risk loans at Lending Club and Prosper. The average interest rate of my portfolios continues to drop steadily every quarter but given my sizable portfolios of thousands of loans it takes a while for these changes to fully take effect. Interestingly, the one account where I have taken a more conservative approach from day one, my Prosper New Roth IRA, is easily my best performing consumer lending account with a TTM return of 6.32%.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, XIRR

Views: 2,107

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q1 2018

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 4.90% return for the year ending March 31, 2018

May 24, 2018 By Peter Renton 32 Comments

Views: 1,787

It is that time again when I share my quarterly investment returns. This is something I have been doing for many years now and I know it is one of the most popular features on Lend Academy. I started out investing in marketplace lending many years ago with just Lending Club and Prosper but slowly have added new investments over the years. I share all the details in this post.

Before I get started I do need to provide one caveat with this quarter’s returns. I do not have final numbers for our own Lend Academy P2P fund yet. We are reviewing valuation methodologies and we have several service providers working with us on that possible change. This process is taking quite a bit longer than we expected. I know my quarterly returns are keenly anticipated by many of you and I like to publish them around this time. So rather than wait until the valuation is final I decided to publish my quarterly report now and I will adjust when we get final numbers. In the meantime I have used the December 31 numbers, assuming a flat Q1, to provide a returns estimate.

I have one new addition this quarter, Fundrise, they are a real estate platform that is open to non-accredited investors. While I had invested a very small amount with them several years ago I added to it substantially last year and so I am including it in my returns update now. You can find out more by listening to my podcast with the CEO, Ben Miller, from last year.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 4.90%

After a downward trend that has continued for many years I am wondering when I will reach a bottom. My preliminary return of 4.70% is close to where it was last quarter but still down. I don’t expect my final Lend Academy P2P Fund return to increase this number so I am still stuck in the downward trend of returns.

My six original accounts at Lending Club and Prosper have all been open for at least six years so they are very mature accounts that have experienced several turns of capital as I have kept reinvesting over the years. I separate these out because these were the accounts I had when I first started doing these reports so readers can go back and see how they have trended over time. The returns for the past year are still bad at 2.34% as I continue to pay for poor underwriting performance in 2015 and 2016 at both companies. When you see today that you can get 3% on a 10-year Treasury Note a sub 3% return is just not acceptable for an unsecured consumer loan.

While I continue to reinvest the principal and interest earned in my LendingClub and Prosper accounts in the hope and expectation of a rebound I am committing new capital elsewhere. I like real estate where you can still get mid to high single digit returns with the added security of an asset backing the loan. That is why I have added new money in the last 12 months to companies like Peerstreet, Alphaflow, Money360 and Fundrise. All are detailed here.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, XIRR

Views: 1,787

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q4 2017

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 5.01% return for the 2017 calendar year

February 22, 2018 By Peter Renton 35 Comments

Views: 508

Time for my regular quarterly returns post, one of the most popular features here on Lend Academy. I have been sharing my detailed quarterly returns with readers since 2011 and I will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. I know investors are most interested in returns, in particular how they have been trending over time. You can go back and look at the breakdown of my investments every quarter for the past six years.

If you do look at my historic returns you will see they have been moving steadily in a downward trajectory since the beginning of 2014 when my trailing twelve month (TTM) return was 12.44%. I look back on those returns wistfully now, when my accounts were firing on all cylinders and in reality we were being overly rewarded for the risk we were taking. Today, the pendulum has swung too far the other way and I think the return is too low for the risk.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 5.01%

The long decline in my returns has continued with 2017 by far my worst year since I began investing with LendingClub back in 2009. My overall TTM return  in Q4 2017 was 5.01% compared to 6.64% in Q3 2017 and 8.07% one year ago.

I used to proudly say I had never had a down month in my LendingClub or Prosper investments. Now, I have not just had down months but down quarters as well. And I came perilously close to having a down year in my main LendingClub with my return coming in at 0.01%.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, XIRR

Views: 508

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q2 2017

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 7.28% return for the year ending June 30, 2017

August 21, 2017 By Peter Renton 28 Comments

Views: 1,092

Every quarter around this time I get emails from readers asking when I will be publishing my quarterly returns post. For many years now it has been one of the most popular features on Lend Academy. People like to know how others are doing so I have been sharing my returns here every quarter since Q4 2011. Over the years I have diversified beyond my initial investments in Lending Club and Prosper into the three major asset classes within marketplace lending: consumer, small business and real estate.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 7.28%

One could almost say my returns are in a downward spiral. Since peaking in Q1 2014 at 12.44% my returns have decreased pretty much every quarter and for the last two years that decrease has averaged around 0.5% per quarter. Two years ago I stood at 11.3% and my weakest Lending Club account earned a respectable 8.19% and the average return of my original six accounts was 9.51%. Times have indeed changed since then.

This past quarter my overall returns stood at 7.28% and the returns for my original six accounts were 5.07%. My worst Lending Club account was my original account there and it came in at 1.95% for the year. The only good news, if there was any, was that I did not have a negative quarter in any of my accounts this quarter unlike in Q1.

For those readers who may be new to my quarterly returns post the reason for the drop in my returns are issues, primarily at Lending Club, in the D and E grade loans issued in late 2015 and early 2016. These have underperformed significantly, particular the 36-month loans, and these are the loans I have made the bulk of my portfolio. Now, I made some adjustments at the start of this year but these loans are still defaulting at higher than expected rate and it will be the end of the year I expect before I will see things begin to improve.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

As you look at the above table you should take note of the following points:

  1. All the account totals and interest numbers are taken from my monthly statements that I download each month.
  2. The Net Interest column is the total interest earned plus late fees and recoveries less charge-offs.
  3. The Average Rate column shows the weighted average interest rate taken directly from Lending Club or Prosper.
  4. The XIRR ROI column shows my real world return for the trailing 12 months (TTM). I believe the XIRR method is the best way for individual investors to determine their actual return.
  5. The six older accounts have been separated out to provide a level of continuity with my earlier updates.
  6. I do not take into account the impact of taxes.

Now, I will break down each of my investments from the above table grouped by company. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, XIRR

Views: 1,092

My Quarterly Marketplace Lending Results – Q1 2017

My latest quarterly investment results show an overall 7.73% return for the year ending March 31, 2017

May 22, 2017 By Peter Renton 10 Comments

Views: 187

It is that time again when I share my investment returns. I like sharing these details because I believe in transparency and I know people are interested in my returns and how they are trending over time. I started out in marketplace lending many years ago with just Lending Club and Prosper but slowly have added new investments over the years. I included a relatively new account this quarter, StreetShares, they are a small business lender with a difference – you can read about them here and also listen to my podcast with the co-founders from last year.

Overall Marketplace Lending Return at 7.73%

The downward trend continues unabated in my returns. And while I said last quarter that was my worst ever, unfortunately I can now say the same again. In fact, this quarter set new lows, with one of my Lending Club accounts actually losing money during the quarter. This is the first time that has happened with any of my marketplace lending accounts.

I complained last quarter that the annualized return, based just on the latest quarterly numbers, on my main Lending Club account had dropped to 2.1% in Q4. Well, this quarter it dipped further. The balance on this account on December 31, 2016 was $39,733, the balance on March 31, 2017 was $39,472 for a -2.6% annualized return according to Lending Club’s own statements. I have had negative months here and there but never before have I experienced a negative quarter at Lending Club or Prosper since I started investing almost eight years ago.

When I look at where the recent defaults have been coming from the majority are in the D and E grade 36-month loans issued in 2015. These loan grades have underperformed significantly, something we covered in some depth earlier this year. When I said last quarter that I hoped the worst is behind us that clearly was not the case. I now expect my returns to continue to drift downward as more of this 2015 vintage hits their peak default months.

Now on to the numbers. Click the table below to see it at full size.

As you look at the above table you should take note of the following points: [Read more…]

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, Prosper, Quarterly Results, ROI, XIRR

Views: 187

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