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Not Shady At All: Perspective on Repeat Borrowers at Lending Club

We respond to a recent article in Bloomberg that highlighted 'shady loans' given to repeat borrowers.

August 22, 2016 By Peter Renton 11 Comments

Views: 309

Repeat Borrowers at Lending Club

Last week Bloomberg published a lengthy piece titled “How Lending Club’s Biggest Fanboy Uncovered Shady Loans”. The article focuses on Bryan Sims, an individual investor who, like many people, has taken an interest in Lending Club and was attracted to the transparency of their loan book. He decided to do some detailed analysis on this loan book.

There are two key takeaways in the article. First, it discusses the loans taken out by Renaud Laplanche and his friends and family back in 2009 that was done supposedly to inflate origination numbers which has been widely reported. This was a significant misstep in my opinion, so I have little issue with any of the points made about this.

Second, the article discusses the fact that Lending Club doesn’t report when borrowers take out a second loan. Now, before we go any further I should say that I have been urging Lending Club to disclose this kind of information since I first met with Renaud Laplanche and Scott Sanborn back in 2011. But the fact is the article misconstrues so much here that I felt like a response was needed.

The Missing Pieces Not Mentioned in the Article

Here is the major issue I have with this article. The Bloomberg reporters imply that Lending Club has lax underwriting standards because the same person has taken out two different loans at different rates:

It was one person with two active loans, and Lending Club was treating them as completely unrelated, charging wildly different interest rates. The borrower was paying about 15 percent interest on one loan of about $15,000; on the other, he was paying 9 percent on twice the principal. That meant the investors who held only the second loan were leaving money on the table. And Lending Club didn’t seem to be doing anything to help them.

Let me explain how Lending Club, or any online lender for that matter, works. A borrower takes out a loan and Lending Club analyzes their financial situation at that moment and provides an interest rate (assuming they are approved). If this same borrower takes out a second loan Lending Club analyzes this person’s new financial situation and makes a decision based on that. It is quite possible that a person’s financial situation has changed – the first loan could have been used to pay down higher interest credit card debt for example. This could even be the case for a borrower that was taking out two loans within a month of each other which was another example given in the article.

Now, we should point out that Lending Club has rules on taking out a second loan. Typically, borrowers have to wait 6, 9 or 12 months in order to take out a second loan depending on a number of credit factors. Prior to 2013 there was an exception to this – for borrowers who did not get their loan fully funded. They could re-list the portion of the loan that was not fully funded within this minimum window. But there has not been a loan go unfunded at Lending Club since 2013 so that is a moot point today.

Transparency and Prosper Performance

Having said all this, I believe Lending Club should be providing details on repeat borrowers. Why? Because repeat borrowers actually perform BETTER than borrowers who take out just one loan. Allow me to explain with examples from Prosper. Lending Club’s rival provides details on repeat borrowers – in fact Prosper has 15 elements exposed including details on loan amount, earliest pay off, number of prior loans, number of prior loans still active, balances outstanding, details on late loans etc.

Anyone (including Bloomberg reporters) can use NSR Invest to analyze loan performance on any of these filter criteria and through this you can get a really good understanding of how repeat borrowers perform.

Take a look at the graphic below. I filtered on all loans that were originated prior to June 1, 2013 to focus on 36 month loans that were pretty much fully mature. This table provides ROI information on the borrowers based on number of prior Prosper loans. What is interesting is that borrowers with two prior loans perform better than borrowers with one prior loan and they both perform better than new borrowers.

Prosper_prior_loans

I first wrote about this phenomenon back in 2011 and to this day I still maintain repeat borrowers as one of my selection criteria when investing in loans on Prosper. This is the main reason I lobbied hard for this inclusion at Lending Club.

Conclusion

Lending Club has many challenges, of that we are all aware. But weak underwriting is not one of them. While it is far from perfect it is so much better than this article implies. Sure there have been minor upticks in defaults from time to time but investor performance has been strong now for many years.

To make assumptions  based on incomplete facts is dangerous. Bryan Sims assumed he knew more than Lending Club. More than an experienced credit underwriting team with decades of experience underwriting consumer loans. The Bloomberg reporters agreed with Bryan Sims, that maybe he did know more. A deeper analysis would have led to a more complete story but probably one that would have been less controversial. And in the end the story should have come to a quite different conclusion.

 

Filed Under: Peer to Peer Lending Tagged With: Lending Club, repeat borrowers, Transparency

Views: 309

Comments

  1. Loren Picard says

    August 23, 2016 at 11:22 am

    Peter – Your rebuttal would have received wider circulation to the general public if it was submitted to Bloomberg. Most industry insiders, “the choir”, will have come to an opinion long before your response was posted on Lend Academy. Not too late.

    Reply
    • Peter Renton says

      August 23, 2016 at 11:55 am

      Good idea Loren. I will look into it.

      Reply
  2. Emmanuel says

    August 25, 2016 at 5:10 pm

    You beat us to it, Peter!

    Our analysis confirms that repeat borrowers make also better investment opportunities on Lending Club: https://blog.lendingrobot.com/opinion/when-facts-get-in-the-way-of-a-good-story/

    Reply
    • Peter Renton says

      August 28, 2016 at 6:30 am

      Thanks Emmanuel. Good work. I shared in this weekend’s news roundup.

      Reply
  3. James Wood says

    August 25, 2016 at 8:55 pm

    Good points. Also,if getting two loans on the same platform really is a problem (clearly it isn’t), borrowers could always take their business to a different platform.

    Reply
    • Peter Renton says

      August 28, 2016 at 6:32 am

      James, That is very true and borrowers who take multiple loans out in a very short time can be a problem – it is known as stacking. Because we don’t have a real time credit reporting system there are some people who are taking advantage of that.

      Reply
  4. FinanciaLibre says

    August 26, 2016 at 9:00 pm

    Thanks for this post.

    I think you make some goods points. But I’m not sure if the rebuttal addresses the core of what’s being alleged by Bryan Sims.

    The Bloomberg article implies that multiple loans (i.e., more than two) were taken by a single borrower simultaneously, in violation of LC’s own restrictions against this. And it implies that this phenomenon was not a rare occurrence.

    My understanding from the article is that discerning which loans are linked to a single borrower may not always be readily done when analyzing the data LC makes public. But it would seem that, were LC’s underwriting controls sufficiently strong, LC would have been able to easily make these determinations prior to placing the loans on its platform. So, it would appear LC was failing to comply with its own policies, either unwittingly or with an eye toward driving business growth.

    I’d value your thoughts on this part of the story since these allegations, as they now stand, are troubling for investors in LC’s notes.

    Reply
    • Peter Renton says

      August 28, 2016 at 6:35 am

      This did happen somewhat regularly prior to 2013. The reason is that investors did not always fund the loans with the amount that the borrower was approved for. So, Lending Club allowed the borrower to reapply immediately. Every loan has been fully funded at Lending Club for many years now and LC no longer allow that practice. The loans referred to in the article all seem to be prior to 2013.

      Reply
      • FinanciaLibre says

        September 3, 2016 at 8:03 am

        Thanks, Peter! I certainly hope that’s the case. Many thanks for the reply.

        Reply

Trackbacks

  1. When facts get in the way of a good story – LendingRobot Blog says:
    August 25, 2016 at 4:47 pm

    […] data jives with repeat borrower data compiled from Prosper, as Peter Renton pointed out in his recent article. The conclusion is that, in aggregate, repeat borrowers make better […]

    Reply
  2. MonJa Monthly News Update- September 2016 | MonJa says:
    August 31, 2016 at 6:09 pm

    […] Not Shady At All: Perspective on Repeat Borrowers at Lending Club (Lend […]

    Reply

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LendIt Fintech News, Powered by Lend Academy, has been bringing you all the news and information about fintech and online lending since 2010 when it was founded by Peter Renton. We not only have the industry’s most active news site, but also the largest investor forum and the first and most popular podcast.

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