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Topics - Xenon481

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http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1416265/000114036113013123/form10k.htm


Q2 2009 - Loss before other income: $2,617,400
Q3 2009 - Loss before other income: $2,289,092
Q4 2009 - Loss before other income: $2,868,908
Q1 2010 - Loss before other income: $2,747,524
Q2 2010 - Loss before other income: $2,787,434
Q3 2010 - Loss before other income: $2,404,217
Q4 2010 - Loss before other income: $2,566,804
Q1 2011 - Loss before other income: $3,097,283
Q2 2011 - Loss before other income: $2,837,560
Q3 2011 - Loss before other income: $2,837,290
Q4 2011 - Loss before other income: $3,519,037
Q1 2012 - Loss before other income: $4,690,488
Q2 2012 - Loss before other income: $3,545,603
Q3 2012 - Loss before other income: $4,448,773
Q4 2012 - Loss before other income: $4,764,596
Q1 2013 - Loss before other income: $4,504,040

The average quarterly burn rate for 2012 was $4,362,365 which is ~43% higher than 2011's average quarterly burn rate.

At the end of 2012, Prosper had $2,300,073 in "Cash and cash equivalents" (cash and treasuries). In January 2013, they received another round of VC funding of ~$20m, so that puts Prosper at essentially $22.3million in known cash reserves.

- If 2012 Q4's burn rate was to hold constant, then Prosper would need another VC infusion in ~14 months from the end of 2012 (~Feb 2014).
- If 2013's average burn rate holds closer in line with 2012's average burn rate, then Prosper would need another VC infusion in ~15 months from the end of 2012 (~Mar 2014).
- If 2013's average burn rate is 20% higher than 2012's, then it is just ~13 months (~Jan 2014).
- If 2013's average burn rate is 30% higher than 2012's, then ~12 months (~Dec 2013).
- 40% higher average would be ~11 months.


- Prosper spent an average of ~$861k/month on salaries and benefits.
- Prosper spent an average of ~$474k/month on marketing. 30% of which was spent in Q4.
- Prosper spent an average of ~$276k/month on "Professional Services" which is primarily legal fees for the Class Action.
- Prosper spent an average of ~$110k/month on rebates and promotions.
- Prosper spent an average of ~$102k/month on facilities and maintenance.


Edit: Added Q1-2013 loss to the list

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Investors - P / Prosper Originations Continue To Be Extremely Low
« on: February 28, 2013, 09:04:57 pm »
Even with Worth-Blanket2 back in the game, Prosper's origination rate continues to be extremely low compared to historical numbers:

http://www.prosper.com/invest/performance.aspx

$ of Loans Originated (by month originated):

Jan 2011: $3,301,421
Feb 2011: $3,656,521
Mar 2011: $4,513,931
Apr 2011: $5,013,591
May 2011: $5,600,451
Jun 2011: $5,606,303
Jul 2011: $6,004,565
Aug 2011: $6,869,661
Sep 2011: $7,361,183
Oct 2011: $8,706,068
Nov 2011: $9,003,672
Dec 2011: $9,500,643
Jan 2012: $10,826,709
Feb 2012: $11,001,656
Mar 2012: $11,235,816
Apr 2012: $11,644,207
May 2012: $12,810,214
Jun 2012: $13,555,137
Jul 2012: $14,925,140
Aug 2012: $14,309,578
Sep 2012: $15,839,746
Oct 2012: $15,332,861
Nov 2012: $12,086,224
Dec 2012: $9,607,832
Jan 2013: $9,821,395
Feb 2013: $9,008,608


February 2013 is the lowest month for originations that Prosper has had since November of 2011.


Prosper's primary revenue stream is from taking a percentage cut of all originations, so this kind of massive extended cut in originations rate is going to have a huge negative impact to Prosper's top line revenue numbers for 2012 Q4 and 2013 Q1.

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